Manufacturing confidence falls to lowest level in two years

Britain's manufacturing firms reported the biggest decline in optimism this month since March 2013, research finds.

Exporters have been particularly hard-hit as the continued slow performance of the Eurozone hits overseas markets and the strong pound makes British goods more expensive, according to the latest Business Trends Report by BDO.

Added to this low oil and gas prices have curbed investment by the sector, and slowed orders for manufacturing firms.

The four-point drop in BDO’s Manufacturing Optimism Index means it currently stands at 103.4. While this is still above the long-term average, this is only due to the sector’s weak performance since the financial crisis.

This means Britain’s dual speed recovery looks set to continue. The drop in manufacturing confidence is in stark contrast to BDO’s Optimism and Output Indices, which predict overall UK business growth for the latter part of 2015.

These held firm this month with each holding a reading of 104.5, pointing to strong confidence among most UK firms.

The manufacturing sector is still smaller than it was in 2008 so prospects for manufacturers need to be boosted to rebalance growth across the economy as a whole.

BDO partner Peter Hemington says that the government’s plans to rebalance the economy are vital, but that it is equally vital that the manufacturing sector reaps the benefits from these plans and receives the help it needs to thrive.

‘In particular, we need to see the Northern Powerhouse plan translate into real support for the manufacturing sector,’ he says. 

‘Additionally, we would like to see a formal target set for manufacturing’s share of GDP, which will provide the foundations for sustainable industry policy. This could be steered by a dedicated manufacturing minister – another option we would like to see considered by the government.

‘Manufacturing is a key sector for economic growth, so specific support could help boost the economy as a whole. A measure such as a reducing national insurance for manufacturers taking on new employees could create up to 90,000 jobs each year, and boost GDP by over £3.5 billion.’

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Ben Lobel

Ben Lobel

Ben Lobel was the editor of from 2010 to 2018. He specialises in writing for start-up and scale-up companies in the areas of finance, marketing and HR.

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